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Joby’s UAE Certification Delay Raises Concerns Over Air Taxi Timeline, Weighs on eVTOL Stocks

Joby’s UAE Certification Delay Raises Concerns Over Air Taxi Timeline, Weighs on eVTOL Stocks
Shares of Joby Aviation fell sharply by more than 9% on Monday following a report from The National revealing that the company’s certification process in the United Arab Emirates will not conclude until the third quarter of next year. This represents a notable setback from Joby’s earlier forecast in February, when it anticipated launching passenger services in Dubai as early as late 2025 or early 2026.
Impact on Investor Sentiment and Industry Outlook
The delay has intensified investor apprehension regarding the broader timeline for commercial air taxi services, suggesting that the deployment of electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft may be further delayed than previously anticipated. The news also exerted downward pressure on shares of Archer Aviation, which declined by over 9% amid persistent uncertainty surrounding its own certification and commercial launch plans in both the United States and international markets.
Joby’s stock decline follows a $514 million discounted share sale, which has compounded investor unease despite the company’s recent high-profile deals and partnerships. The certification setback in the UAE comes at a time when the eVTOL sector is facing increased scrutiny, with both Joby and Archer continuing to lag behind the broader market in terms of valuation. These developments underscore the significant challenges confronting the industry as it attempts to transition from development phases to commercial operations.
Broader Industry Challenges and Upcoming Milestones
Archer Aviation, which has also encountered delays in its UAE certification timeline, is planning public demonstration flights in California scheduled for October 2025. Nevertheless, the company’s path to commercial launch remains uncertain, reflecting the wider regulatory and operational hurdles that the emerging air taxi market must overcome.
Adding to the sector’s volatility, Beta Technologies—a manufacturer of electric aircraft—is preparing to go public on Tuesday following a $300 million investment from GE Aerospace in September. The forthcoming initial public offering is viewed as a critical test of investor appetite for eVTOL companies amid ongoing questions about certification, commercialization, and long-term profitability.
Both Joby and Archer are slated to report earnings later this week, with investors closely monitoring for updates on certification progress and commercial timelines. For now, the delays in regulatory approval and the resulting market reaction highlight the substantial obstacles that remain before air taxis can become a commercial reality.

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