Forecast for U.S. Commercial Fleet and MRO Growth Through 2026

How StandardAero’s New MRO Deals Could Shape Its Role in Global Aviation StandardAero has recently secured new and extended maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) agreements with Mauritania Airlines and Oman’s SalamAir, reinforcing its status as a leading provider of services for CFM International engines. These contracts, effective through October 2025, focus on the CFM LEAP and CFM56 engine families and highlight StandardAero’s dedication to advancing technician training and innovating component repair. Such commitments are increasingly vital as airlines modernize their fleets and demand more sophisticated MRO capabilities. Expanding Partnerships Amidst a Growing Market These expanded agreements arrive at a critical juncture for the global aviation aftermarket. Airlines worldwide are intensifying efforts to optimize operations and extend the service life of their aircraft, driving heightened demand for specialized MRO services. By broadening its customer base and increasing workshop utilization, StandardAero strengthens its competitive position in a sector marked by rapid technological advancements and evolving fleet requirements. Nevertheless, scaling service growth to align with broader industry ambitions presents notable challenges. For instance, ATR’s strategy to expand its presence in the U.S.—where only 49 of its roughly 1,200 aircraft currently operate—underscores the necessity for a robust MRO infrastructure. This expansion is poised to support an anticipated increase of 12 million annual regional air passengers on routes under 400 nautical miles. To capitalize on such growth, StandardAero must ensure its service network can adapt and expand in tandem with the evolving regional aviation market. Navigating Competitive and Market Pressures Competitive pressures within the MRO sector are intensifying. Pratt & Whitney, a key rival, is addressing material supply chain constraints through vertical integration and the implementation of advanced, data-driven materials forecasting. This strategy may establish new benchmarks for supply chain management, compelling StandardAero to enhance its own logistics and procurement processes to maintain reliability and cost efficiency. Looking ahead, Europe’s commercial fleet is projected to expand by 40% by 2035, fueling a $350 billion MRO market. This anticipated growth presents both significant opportunities and increased competition for StandardAero as it aims to capture a larger share of global MRO demand. The company’s ongoing investments in workforce development and repair technology position it favorably, yet its success will depend on its ability to respond effectively to shifting market dynamics and evolving customer expectations. Investment Outlook and Strategic Considerations From an investment perspective, StandardAero’s recent contract momentum may provide reassurance to shareholders seeking evidence of sustainable earnings growth. While these new deals support the company’s growth outlook, they are unlikely to materially alter its near-term risk profile, as forecasts had already accounted for a steady pipeline of contracts and robust demand in commercial aerospace. However, the company’s premium valuation and elevated price-to-earnings ratio remain potential risks, particularly if future contract acquisitions slow or profit margins face downward pressure. Ultimately, StandardAero’s capacity to manage supply chain complexities, scale its service offerings, and respond to global fleet expansion will be decisive in shaping its long-term role within the aviation MRO landscape. As the industry continues to evolve, the company’s strategic partnerships and operational agility will be critical factors influencing its future trajectory.

IndiGo Confirms Firm Order for 30 Airbus A350-900 Wide-Body Aircraft IndiGo has formalized a firm order with Airbus for 30 additional A350-900 wide-body aircraft, marking a significant expansion of its long-haul fleet. This latest agreement brings IndiGo’s total firm orders for the A350-900 to 60, alongside purchase rights for an additional 40 wide-body jets. The move represents a strategic pivot for the airline, which has historically concentrated on narrow-body aircraft. Strategic Implications Amid Intensifying Competition The decision to invest heavily in the A350-900 comes amid heightened competition in the global aviation sector. Airbus’s A320 family recently overtook Boeing’s 737 in deliveries, intensifying the rivalry between the two manufacturers and influencing fleet strategies worldwide. IndiGo’s commitment to the A350-900 positions the airline to strengthen its presence on international routes, although it also introduces new operational and maintenance complexities that will require careful management. Competitors are adjusting their own fleet compositions in response to evolving market demands. Lufthansa, for instance, is streamlining its operations by increasing its use of A350s and Boeing 787s to enhance efficiency and flexibility. Similarly, Cathay Pacific’s relaunch of the Hong Kong-Seattle route with the A350-900 underscores the aircraft’s growing importance in long-haul travel, potentially shaping IndiGo’s ambitions in comparable markets. Operational Challenges and Market Response Operational considerations remain a critical focus as IndiGo prepares to integrate the A350-900 into its fleet. Iberia’s ongoing evaluation of in-house maintenance capabilities for the A350 offers valuable insights into the challenges associated with managing this aircraft type. Ensuring efficient maintenance and operational readiness will be essential as IndiGo scales up its wide-body operations. The market’s reaction to IndiGo’s announcement was subdued. Shares of Interglobe Aviation Ltd, IndiGo’s parent company, closed at ₹5,852.00 on the Bombay Stock Exchange, down ₹29.00 or 0.49% on the day. As IndiGo advances its wide-body strategy, the airline faces the dual challenge of navigating a competitive international landscape while addressing the operational demands of a more diverse fleet.

IndiGo Doubles Airbus A350 Order to 60 Aircraft IndiGo has announced a substantial expansion of its fleet by doubling its order for Airbus A350-900 aircraft from 30 to 60. This decision represents a significant milestone in the airline’s strategy to enhance its international operations and presence. Strategic Expansion Amid Industry Challenges Pieter Elbers, IndiGo’s chief executive, described the announcement as a pivotal moment for the airline. He emphasized that converting the memorandum of understanding into a firm order for an additional 30 A350-900s reflects IndiGo’s confidence in the future of Indian aviation and its strategic partnership with Airbus. This expansion aligns with the airline’s ambition to strengthen its position on international routes. The order comes at a time when the global aviation industry is contending with supply chain disruptions and manufacturing delays, factors that may affect the delivery schedule of the new aircraft. Despite these challenges, IndiGo’s commitment signals its intent to compete more vigorously in the international market, potentially intensifying competition among low-cost carriers in the region. Market Implications and Operational Considerations Industry analysts suggest that IndiGo’s fleet expansion could encourage rival airlines to adopt similar growth strategies. For instance, the Abra Group has recently increased its commitment to Airbus jets, reflecting a wider trend of fleet modernization and expansion within the sector. Operational factors will be critical as IndiGo integrates the A350 wide-body aircraft into its fleet. Maintenance and operational costs associated with the new planes will influence the airline’s international growth plans. Concurrently, the market continues to demonstrate strong demand for Airbus’s A320 series, which is increasingly favored over Boeing’s 737 by carriers prioritizing efficiency and reliability. IndiGo’s latest order highlights both the opportunities and challenges confronting Indian aviation as airlines strive to expand their share of the global market. Navigating ongoing supply chain issues and evolving competitive dynamics, IndiGo’s bold move signals a new phase of growth and rivalry in the region.

Airlines Ground Boeing 737s Amid CFM56 Engine Failures Aerolíneas Argentinas has grounded eight Boeing 737-800 aircraft as a precautionary measure following a series of engine failures involving their CFM56-7B engines. This decision follows a recent incident in which a flight from Buenos Aires to Córdoba was forced to divert to Ezeiza International Airport due to an engine malfunction. This event marks the fourth such failure within the past year, raising significant concerns about the reliability of these engines. Engine Reliability and Industry Implications The CFM56-7B engines, manufactured by CFM International—a joint venture between GE Aviation and Safran Aircraft Engines—have reportedly experienced failures well before reaching the recommended service interval of 17,200 flight cycles. None of the affected engines had approached this threshold, prompting Aerolíneas Argentinas to describe the grounding as a “preventative” action. The airline emphasized that the issue is confined to the engines themselves and does not impact the structural integrity of the aircraft. A formal technical assessment has been requested from the manufacturer to investigate the root causes. This development reflects broader challenges confronting the global aviation industry, which is grappling with engine reliability concerns alongside ongoing supply chain disruptions. For instance, Spirit Airlines recently secured $72 million in credits from Pratt & Whitney due to grounded aircraft equipped with GTF engines experiencing similar issues. Mauritania Airlines has responded by selecting StandardAero to provide maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) support for its CFM56-7B engines. Other carriers, including Ascend Airways, are also facing reliability challenges, particularly with newer LEAP-1B engines. Industry analysts warn that supply chain constraints could impose costs exceeding $11 billion on airlines in 2025, driven by increased fuel expenses, maintenance and leasing costs, and surplus inventory. In response, Safran has initiated construction of a new LEAP MRO facility in Casablanca, scheduled to open in 2027, aiming to alleviate maintenance bottlenecks. Pilots’ Response and Safety Concerns The Asociación de Pilotos de Líneas Aéreas (APLA), representing Aerolíneas Argentinas pilots, has declared that its members will refuse to operate the eight affected 737 aircraft. The union criticized what it described as an “alarming lack of management” and is demanding a comprehensive mitigation plan to address the safety risks. APLA attributes the recurring engine failures to systemic issues rather than isolated incidents and has called for an urgent review of the airline’s technical oversight procedures. The union has made clear that the airline bears responsibility for any flight cancellations or delays resulting from the grounding. Details of the Latest Incident The most recent engine failure occurred on October 15, 2025, involving Flight AR1526, operated by a Boeing 737-800 registered as LV-FSK. While en route from Aeroparque Jorge Newbery (AEP) to Córdoba (COR), the flight crew detected a technical failure in the number one engine. Declaring an emergency, the aircraft diverted safely to Ezeiza International Airport (EZE). All 161 passengers and crew were unharmed and subsequently re-accommodated on an alternate flight. Operations at Aeroparque were temporarily suspended to facilitate the removal of metallic debris believed to have originated from the engine. The aircraft has since been withdrawn from service pending detailed inspections by both airline and manufacturer technical teams. As airlines worldwide continue to face mounting operational and financial pressures stemming from engine reliability issues, the situation at Aerolíneas Argentinas highlights the urgent need for coordinated industry efforts to safeguard safety and reduce disruptions.

MRO Europe 2025: Joramco and MNG Extend MRO Partnership Amman-based Joramco, the maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) facility and engineering division of Dubai Aerospace Enterprise (DAE), has announced an expansion of its partnership with Turkish cargo carrier MNG Airlines. The new agreement involves Joramco conducting a C-check on MNG’s Airbus A330, reinforcing the longstanding collaboration between the two companies. Fraser Currie, chief strategy and commercial officer at DAE Engineering, highlighted the importance of the renewed partnership, stating that it reflects the confidence clients place in Joramco’s capabilities. He affirmed the company’s commitment to delivering world-class MRO services while deepening the collaboration as both firms grow together. Mehmet Eyigurbuz, technical director at MNG Airlines, echoed this sentiment, emphasizing the professionalism and technical excellence Joramco has consistently demonstrated. He described the extension as a crucial step in ensuring the highest standards of safety and reliability for MNG’s fleet. Context and Industry Implications This partnership extension arrives at a critical juncture for the European MRO sector, which is preparing for substantial transformation amid rising demand. Over the next decade, the delivery of more than 5,200 new aircraft is expected to significantly increase the need for MRO services across the region. This anticipated surge is intensifying competition among MRO providers, compelling companies to enhance their service offerings and optimize supply chains to secure key contracts. Industry players are also adapting to shifting market dynamics. Pratt & Whitney, for instance, is pursuing greater supply chain control through vertical integration and advanced, data-driven materials forecasting, strategies that may alter the competitive landscape. Concurrently, Europe’s engine market is evolving to meet the demands of long-haul routes, with forecasts indicating record growth in engine MRO activity. As Joramco and MNG Airlines strengthen their cooperation, both companies are positioning themselves to address these emerging challenges and opportunities. Their partnership underscores the critical role of reliability, technical expertise, and adaptability in navigating the rapidly evolving MRO market.

Korean Air to Enhance Airbus Predictive Maintenance at MRO Europe 2025 Korean Air has announced a strategic agreement to implement Airbus’ advanced predictive maintenance platform, Skywise Fleet Performance+ (S.FP+), at the Aviation Week MRO Europe 2025 event in London. This move represents a significant advancement in the airline’s efforts to optimize operational efficiency and unify its maintenance systems in preparation for the upcoming integration with Asiana Airlines. Advancing Predictive Maintenance Capabilities Skywise Fleet Performance+ is an enhanced data-driven solution that consolidates and replaces Korean Air’s existing Skywise Predictive Maintenance+ (SPM+) and Skywise Health Monitoring (SHM) tools. Utilizing sophisticated data analytics, S.FP+ aims to improve aircraft availability and reliability by identifying potential component failures before they occur. Korean Air has opted for the ‘Control’ tier of the platform, which includes features such as pre-departure check support and intelligent troubleshooting powered by natural language processing (NLP). This proactive maintenance approach is expected to significantly reduce Aircraft on the Ground (AOG) incidents, thereby lowering operational disruptions and associated costs. The initial deployment of S.FP+ will cover Korean Air’s Airbus A321neo, A330, A350, and A380 fleets, with plans to extend the system to Asiana Airlines’ Airbus aircraft following the full integration of the two carriers. Jong Hoon Oh, head of Korean Air’s predictive maintenance team, emphasized the value of the data-driven strategy, noting that it prevented over 100 potential flight disruptions in 2024 alone. He described the upgrade to S.FP+ as a strategic measure to maintain high levels of operational reliability and efficiency on a larger scale as the combined fleet expands. Raymond Lim, head of customer services Asia-Pacific at Airbus, highlighted the collaboration as a testament to the shared commitment to innovation. He expressed pride in supporting Korean Air’s efforts to unlock new levels of operational reliability through data-driven maintenance solutions. Context Within a Growing MRO Market Korean Air’s adoption of S.FP+ comes amid rapid growth in the European maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) market. The region is expected to experience a 40% increase in fleet size over the next decade, with more than 5,200 new aircraft deliveries anticipated. This expansion is projected to drive MRO demand beyond $350 billion by 2035, intensifying competition among service providers and potentially affecting the cost and availability of maintenance. In response to these market pressures, airlines are increasingly investing in predictive maintenance technologies to enhance operational resilience and maintain a competitive advantage. Additionally, industry-wide challenges such as disruptions caused by Pratt & Whitney geared turbofan (GTF) engine issues continue to influence maintenance priorities and operational strategies. Korean Air’s implementation of advanced predictive maintenance tools positions the airline to better manage fleet reliability and operational costs amid these evolving complexities and competitive dynamics.

IAF Vice Chief Emphasizes Youth Training for Aircraft and Technology Manufacturing Addressing the Centre for Aerospace Power and Strategic Studies in New Delhi, Air Marshal Narmdeshwar Tiwari, Vice Chief of Air Staff, underscored the pivotal role of air power in the context of evolving global geopolitics. He stressed the importance of focusing on emerging aviation technologies to secure India’s strategic autonomy and establish its leadership in the aerospace sector. Building a Comprehensive Aerospace Ecosystem Reflecting on India’s aerospace journey from the indigenous HF-24 Marut fighter to the ongoing Light Combat Aircraft (LCA) project, Air Marshal Tiwari highlighted the need to develop a robust ecosystem that integrates aircraft manufacturing with weapons systems, sensors, and encrypted communication networks. He emphasized that advancing research and development, enhancing skill development programs, and implementing supportive policy reforms—including technology transfers and fostering startups—are critical to this effort. “If we put our resources together, we can do wonders,” he remarked, calling for a collaborative approach to innovation and production. Addressing Skill Gaps and Youth Integration The Vice Chief’s remarks come amid growing recognition of the challenges and opportunities involved in integrating youth into the aerospace manufacturing sector. Addressing existing skill gaps and providing effective training are essential as India seeks to compete with established global supply chains. This focus on youth training aligns with the Indian Air Force’s broader modernization strategy, which aims to attract younger talent and strengthen national defense capabilities through the adoption of advanced technologies. Market analysts observe that a stronger emphasis on domestic production could significantly boost India’s aerospace industry, while also encouraging competitors to enhance their own training and manufacturing capacities. As the IAF advances its modernization agenda, cultivating a skilled workforce capable of supporting next-generation aircraft and technology manufacturing remains a central priority. By promoting a holistic approach that combines education, industry collaboration, and policy support, the Indian Air Force aspires to position India as a global leader in aerospace innovation and self-reliance.

Flying Taxis Near Reality but Face Key Challenges A new chapter in urban transportation is unfolding as electric air taxis, once confined to the realm of science fiction, approach practical implementation. This emerging sector, known as advanced air mobility (AAM), seeks to enhance connectivity between communities while simultaneously reducing emissions and noise pollution. Despite notable technological advancements, experts warn that significant challenges must be overcome before flying taxis become a common feature in city skies. Technological Progress and Certification Challenges Companies such as Alef Aeronautics, Joby Aviation, Lilium, Archer, and EHang have driven rapid innovation in the field, capitalizing on improvements in battery technology, automation, distributed propulsion, and lightweight composite materials. These developments have resulted in aircraft that are quieter, lighter, and more energy-efficient. Laurie Garrow, professor at Georgia Tech and co-director of the Center for Urban and Regional Air Mobility, highlights that many of the battery and automation technologies initially developed for electric ground vehicles are now being adapted for aviation. Nonetheless, Garrow stresses that the transition to widespread commercial service remains several years away. While high-profile demonstrations may occur soon, potentially at global events such as the Olympics, the aviation certification process is stringent and time-consuming. Earning public trust through rigorous safety validation is a critical step that cannot be rushed. Safety, Regulation, and Public Acceptance The promise of AAM extends beyond technological innovation to encompass safety frameworks, regulatory standards, and public confidence. Garrow emphasizes the necessity of establishing “roads in the sky”—designated air corridors where flying taxis can safely coexist with traditional air traffic. This will require the evolution of certification standards, air traffic control systems, and pilot training programs in parallel with technological progress. Recent incidents, including a collision during an air show rehearsal in China, have highlighted the inherent risks and contributed to skepticism regarding the safety and practicality of flying taxis. Although some companies have obtained permits in international markets and continue to advance their development efforts, investor caution remains prevalent. Urban Integration and Infrastructure Development Integrating flying taxis into complex urban environments demands a thorough understanding of their operational dynamics. Marilyn Smith, professor at Georgia Tech’s School of Aerospace Engineering, leads research focused on real-time modeling and simulation to prepare these aircraft for real-world conditions. Her team employs fast, physics-based models capable of near-real-time analysis to inform both design and regulatory decisions. Artificial intelligence is also being incorporated to expedite certification processes, albeit under expert supervision to maintain safety standards. On the infrastructure front, the establishment of vertiports for vertical takeoff and landing, reliable charging systems, and fire safety protocols for high-energy batteries are essential prerequisites. Garrow notes that managing air traffic around existing airports will require clear “rules of the road in the sky.” Cities such as Atlanta, with their distinctive runway configurations and population distributions, may offer strategic advantages for early adoption of flying taxi services. Industry Momentum Amid Ongoing Challenges Despite the regulatory and technical hurdles, the flying taxi industry is gaining traction, particularly in China, where startups are making notable technical progress. Competitors continue to refine their aircraft designs and explore new markets, yet the path to widespread adoption remains intricate and multifaceted. As flying taxis approach operational reality, the coming years will be pivotal in determining whether technological innovation, infrastructure development, and regulatory frameworks can converge to safely integrate these aircraft into everyday urban life.

Tecnam Designates Avionics 2000 as Authorized P2012 Service Centre in Australia Tecnam has officially appointed Avionics 2000 as an authorized service centre for its P2012 Traveller and STOL aircraft across Australia, marking a significant expansion of its local support network. This development reinforces the longstanding partnership between Avionics 2000 and Hallmarc Aviation, the official Tecnam dealer, both of which operate out of Essendon Fields, Melbourne’s premier business aviation hub. Strengthening Service Capabilities and Partnerships Michael Kus, director at Avionics 2000, expressed pride in the appointment, highlighting the company’s enduring relationship with Hallmarc Aviation, which is founded on shared commitments to quality, safety, and customer care. Avionics 2000 brings a broad range of technical services to the partnership, including maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO), instrument repairs and calibration, electrical and radio systems support, custom avionics upgrades, special mission platform integration, and research and development. Anna Mant, Business Manager at Avionics 2000, emphasized that the designation enables the company to deliver comprehensive technical support and innovation to Tecnam operators throughout Australia. Michael Loccisano, CEO of Hallmarc Aviation, underscored the significance of this collaboration, noting that the three-decade relationship between the two firms now enters a new phase with Tecnam. He highlighted the enhanced service standards this partnership brings to customers, particularly in Victoria and Tasmania, supported by in-country technical expertise and parts availability. Strategic Response to Market Competition The appointment comes amid intensifying competition in the business aviation sector, with major manufacturers such as Gulfstream and Dassault recently expanding their maintenance operations in Australia. As these competitors enhance their service offerings and forge new partnerships, Tecnam’s move to strengthen its local support infrastructure is viewed as a strategic response to evolving customer demands. Operators increasingly prioritize providers offering comprehensive service capabilities combined with a strong local presence. Francesco Sferra, Tecnam’s Special Mission Platforms Sales & Business Development Manager, remarked that the inclusion of Avionics 2000 as an official P2012 service centre represents a key step in consolidating the global footprint of the P2012 aircraft series, particularly within the Australian market. He noted that customers will benefit from the centre’s technical expertise and the local availability of parts, ensuring timely and efficient support. Industry analysts also observe a growing demand for specialized consulting and technical services within aviation, influencing how manufacturers and service providers approach growth and sustainability. By expanding its authorized service network, Tecnam aims to provide Australian operators with factory-authorized expertise and support, positioning itself competitively in a rapidly evolving and increasingly demanding market environment.

LOT Polish Airlines and Turkish Technic Forge Strategic Alliance to Enhance Fleet Reliability LOT Polish Airlines has formalized a strategic partnership with Turkish Technic, the maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) subsidiary of Turkish Airlines, with the objective of improving the reliability and operational efficiency of its fleet. This collaboration, established through a memorandum of understanding (MoU), highlights Turkish Technic’s growing prominence in the global MRO market and initiates a long-term cooperative relationship between the two carriers. Enhancing Maintenance Capabilities Amid Industry Challenges Turkish Technic, renowned for its advanced engineering expertise and cutting-edge facilities, will deliver comprehensive base maintenance services to LOT. The partnership is intended to ensure that LOT’s fleet maintains high operational dependability by leveraging Turkish Technic’s stringent safety protocols and innovative maintenance methodologies. Both organizations emphasize a shared commitment to trust, innovation, and quality as the cornerstone of their collaboration. This alliance emerges at a time when the aviation sector is contending with significant challenges. Global supply-chain disruptions are projected to cost airlines more than $11 billion this year, adversely affecting maintenance schedules, inflating spare parts costs, and compelling carriers to extend the service life of older aircraft. These factors contribute to rising maintenance and fuel expenses, as well as increased costs related to engine leasing and inventory management of critical components. LOT’s engagement with Turkish Technic is viewed as a strategic measure to alleviate these pressures and uphold high service standards for its passengers. Expanding Service Offerings and Industry Context Beyond maintenance, the agreement enables LOT to access a wider range of services, including aircraft modifications, engineering solutions, and power-by-the-hour programs. Such offerings are increasingly essential as airlines seek greater operational flexibility and cost efficiency amid ongoing supply-chain uncertainties. Turkish Technic’s global footprint, comprising five strategically positioned facilities, ensures robust support for LOT’s operational requirements despite prevailing logistical challenges. In parallel, other industry players are adopting similar strategies to address comparable obstacles. Turkish Airlines is reportedly exploring joint ventures with Air Algerie in aircraft leasing and maintenance, while maintaining strong partnerships with Boeing to support future fleet growth. Across the aviation sector, infrastructure and MRO deficiencies—particularly in regions such as Africa—are complicating efforts to meet the growing demand for ACMI (Aircraft, Crew, Maintenance, and Insurance) services, underscoring the broader challenges of supply chain reliability and operational efficiency. The partnership between LOT Polish Airlines and Turkish Technic thus represents a significant advancement in strengthening ties between Türkiye’s aviation industry and key European carriers. By capitalizing on Turkish Technic’s technical expertise, LOT aims to reinforce its standing as a reliable airline amid an increasingly complex and evolving operational environment.