Thanksgiving 2025 Air Travel Capacity Rises Despite Lower Airline Profits

Dans and Emirates Aviation University Collaborate on AI-Driven Air Traffic Management Research Dubai Air Navigation Services (dans) and Emirates Aviation University (EAU) have formalized a significant research partnership aimed at advancing artificial intelligence (AI) applications within air traffic management. The agreement, signed at the Dubai Airshow 2025, seeks to develop innovative AI-driven concepts and prototypes designed to address the evolving challenges faced by the aviation industry. This collaboration supports the recently launched “Aviation Talent 33” initiative by the Executive Council of Dubai, which focuses on empowering UAE-based talent by integrating specialized education with cutting-edge technological innovation. The partnership will concentrate on creating a range of intelligent systems, including an AI-based delay predictor, a four-dimensional trajectory deviation analyser, a sector congestion predictor, an agent-based Ground Delay Programme (GDP) recommender, and an explainable AI (XAI) dashboard. The research projects will engage academics, research scientists, and both PhD and undergraduate students specializing in aviation and data science. The overarching objective is to enhance operational planning efficiency and increase airspace flexibility, thereby reinforcing Dubai’s status as a forward-looking global aviation hub. Strategic Importance and Academic Contributions H.E. Ibrahim Ahli, CEO of Dubai Air Navigation Services, underscored the strategic value of the partnership, stating that the collaboration strengthens efforts to develop innovative AI-driven solutions while expanding national capabilities in advanced air traffic management. By combining dans’ operational expertise with Emirates Aviation University’s research environment, the initiative aims to equip emerging talent with the technical and scientific skills necessary to shape the future of the sector. Dr. Ahmad Al Ali, Vice Chancellor of Emirates Aviation University, emphasized the academic benefits of the partnership. He noted that the collaboration empowers researchers and students to develop practical AI applications within real-world operational contexts, preparing a new generation of specialists to lead innovation within the UAE’s aviation ecosystem. Challenges and Industry Implications The agreement exemplifies a progressive model of collaboration between academia and industry in the UAE, supporting national talent development and enhancing dans’ capacity to build research-driven systems. Nonetheless, integrating AI into air traffic management presents several challenges, including regulatory approval, compatibility with existing systems, and the requirement for extensive testing prior to widespread implementation. Market responses to the partnership indicate growing interest in AI applications for air traffic management, which may stimulate further investment and encourage competitors to pursue similar collaborations or accelerate their own research and development efforts. While AI holds considerable promise for improving efficiency and safety, experts caution that it is unlikely to replace human air traffic controllers in the near term. Instead, AI is expected to function as an advanced assistant, augmenting rather than substituting the critical decision-making roles of aviation professionals. Advancing Future-Ready Aviation Aligned with the goals of “Aviation Talent 33,” which aims to provide over 4,000 advanced training opportunities, this partnership lays the groundwork for a new era of intelligent operations across Dubai’s airspace. It highlights Emirates Aviation University’s pivotal role in preparing qualified professionals and reaffirms Dubai’s commitment to maintaining its leadership position in the global aviation sector.

Nigus and AXISCADES to Develop Nigeria’s First Major Aviation MRO Hub Nigus International and AXISCADES Technologies have announced an expanded strategic partnership to establish Nigeria’s first major Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul (MRO) facility. This initiative aims to transform the country’s commercial aviation and defence sectors by leveraging AXISCADES’ global aerospace engineering expertise alongside Nigus International’s strong regional presence. The collaboration seeks to enhance fleet availability, reduce dependence on foreign maintenance services, and accelerate the development of local aerospace capabilities. Advancing Nigeria’s Aviation Infrastructure The integrated MRO platform will prioritize cost reduction, faster turnaround times, and improved operational efficiency for both civil and military aviation. Beyond traditional MRO services, the venture plans to introduce advanced flight simulators for Eastern and Western military aircraft. Additionally, the partnership will expand into drone manufacturing for defence, surveillance, and industrial applications. With government-approved licenses held by Nigus International, the project will facilitate local production of unmanned systems, thereby strengthening Nigeria’s aerospace industry. Operational coordination for the project will be headquartered in the United Arab Emirates, providing a streamlined administrative base and enabling close collaboration with global original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). This structure is intended to ensure efficient governance and execution while reinforcing international partnerships. Challenges and Strategic Significance The development of Nigeria’s first major aviation MRO hub faces significant challenges, including navigating complex regulatory frameworks and competing with established MRO centres in India and other regions. Local and international airlines may respond by forming their own strategic partnerships, investing in infrastructure, or utilizing existing MRO capabilities to protect their market positions. The success of this initiative will depend on its ability to overcome regulatory obstacles and effectively position itself within the competitive global aviation maintenance landscape. HRH Prince Malik Ado-Ibrahim, Chairman of Nigus International, described the partnership as “a decisive step toward aviation sovereignty, military readiness, and Africa-driven aerospace capability.” Dr. Sampath Ravinarayanan, Chairman and Managing Director of AXISCADES, highlighted Nigeria’s strategic location and growing aviation demand as key factors making this the ideal moment to establish a regional centre of excellence. Beyond its immediate impact on Nigeria, the initiative forms part of a broader Global South industrial corridor, combining African market leadership with Indian engineering expertise. The partners aim to deliver shared capabilities, modern infrastructure, and long-term aviation resilience, contributing to the continent’s expanding role in the global aerospace industry.

Commission Unveils Industrial Strategy for Aviation Sector The European Commission has announced the development of a dedicated industrial strategy for the aviation sector, aimed at guiding future EU research and innovation funding. This initiative was confirmed by Filip Cornelis, director for aviation at the Commission’s transport directorate, following strong endorsement from Transport Commissioner Apostolos Tzitzikostas. Speaking at the annual conference of the Aerospace, Security and Defence Industries Association of Europe (ASD) on December 2, Tzitzikostas underscored the necessity for the EU to reassess its approach to the aeronautics and aviation industries. He emphasized that the new strategy must be crafted in close collaboration with industry stakeholders to ensure its effectiveness and relevance. Strategic Focus and Funding Priorities Central to the Commission’s strategy is the exploration of regulatory simplification and the future direction of its two primary Horizon Europe partnerships for aviation research: Clean Aviation and Sesar. It remains unclear whether these partnerships will continue independently or be merged. The Commission’s proposal for the post-2027 Horizon Europe programme highlights “smart and clean aviation” alongside “automated air traffic management” as flagship projects warranting comprehensive EU support, spanning from research and development through to deployment. Industry leaders have stressed the importance of a clear and robust strategy to maintain Europe’s global leadership in aviation, a sector that currently represents approximately 40% of the world’s civil aeronautics market, according to ASD. Micael Johansson, ASD president and CEO of Saab, cautioned against complacency, referencing crises in other sectors such as automotive as warnings. The ASD’s own strategy, unveiled at the conference, calls for a significant increase in EU funding for civil aviation research within the next long-term budget. Specifically, the joint undertakings are seeking €5.3 billion for aircraft technologies and €700 million for air traffic management technologies in the upcoming Horizon Europe programme, compared to current allocations of €1.7 billion and €600 million, respectively. The industry is also advocating for 20-25% of the Innovation Fund—financed by revenues from the EU Emissions Trading System—to be dedicated to civil aviation decarbonisation. They argue that current application processes and funding criteria do not sufficiently support innovative aviation technologies or the production of sustainable aviation fuels. Challenges and Competitive Pressures Despite these ambitions, the aviation sector faces significant challenges. Production costs, particularly for textile components used in aircraft manufacturing, are now 2.5 times higher in Europe than in Asia, placing considerable pressure on competitiveness. Concurrently, the industry must make substantial investments in ecological and digital transformation to meet the EU’s climate and innovation objectives. Market responses to these pressures have been mixed: Boeing’s stock has risen on the back of a positive cash flow outlook for 2026, while Airbus has been compelled to adjust delivery targets due to technical setbacks. In light of intensifying global competition, especially from the United States and China, the EU is considering measures to reinforce its industrial base. These include encouraging the presence of multiple suppliers, prioritizing EU-based companies in public tenders for strategic sectors, and strengthening defenses against economic threats such as China’s export restrictions. The Commission also intends to support dual-use innovations that serve both civil and military applications, thereby enhancing Europe’s position in global manufacturing and security. As the European Union advances its new industrial strategy for aviation, balancing competitiveness, innovation, and sustainability will be essential to securing the continent’s leadership in the sector for the coming decade and beyond.

Pratt & Whitney Secures $1.6 Billion Contract for F135 Engine Support Pratt & Whitney has been awarded a $1.6 billion undefinitized contract action to sustain the F135 engine, the propulsion system powering all three variants of the F-35 Lightning II, one of the world’s most advanced fighter aircraft. The contract covers a broad range of sustainment activities for both U.S. and international operators, including depot-level maintenance and repair, spare parts replenishment, material management, propulsion system integration, engineering support, and software sustainment. These efforts are essential to maintaining the reliability and operational readiness of the global F-35 fleet. Kinda Eastwood, Vice President of F135 Sustainment at Pratt & Whitney, emphasized the strategic importance of the contract, stating, “Investing in F135 sustainment keeps allied forces ready to meet current and future threats. F-35 operators worldwide depend on the F135 for the power and performance their missions demand, and this award helps us maintain readiness rates that enable the war fighter to accomplish their critical missions.” Expanding Global Support Amid Market Challenges The F135 sustainment network now supports multiple global depot facilities, 39 bases, and 12 ships worldwide. By leveraging this distributed maintenance, logistics, and technical expertise, Pratt & Whitney aims to enhance the agility, resilience, and global reach of the F135 engine program. This extensive infrastructure is designed to ensure continuous support for the F-35 fleet across diverse operational theaters. However, the contract award arrives amid intensifying competition and scrutiny within the aerospace engine market. Competitors such as GE Aerospace and Safran’s joint venture, CFM International—which supplies engines for Airbus’s A320neo family—are actively seeking to expand their market share. With Airbus planning to increase production, engine supply chains are experiencing heightened pressure, leading to delays in engine repairs for airlines. This competitive environment may enable rivals like GE Aerospace-Safran to leverage their positions to secure additional contracts, challenging Pratt & Whitney’s dominance in both military and commercial sectors. Pratt & Whitney’s reliability has recently faced increased scrutiny, notably following a lawsuit filed by ITA Airways concerning issues with the company’s GTF engines. These challenges could affect market perceptions and influence Pratt & Whitney’s prospects for future contracts, even as the company continues to secure significant deals such as the F135 sustainment award. As the aerospace industry contends with supply chain constraints and growing competition, Pratt & Whitney’s capacity to fulfill its commitments and address reliability concerns will remain under close observation by industry stakeholders and military customers worldwide.

BOC Aviation Completes Sale-Leaseback Deal with Philippine Airlines BOC Aviation has finalized a landmark sale-leaseback agreement with Philippine Airlines Inc. (PAL), marking its inaugural transaction with the Philippine flag carrier. The agreement involves BOC Aviation purchasing two Airbus A350-1000 aircraft and leasing them back to PAL under long-term operating leases. These aircraft, equipped with Rolls-Royce Trent XWB engines, are slated for delivery beginning in December 2025. Strategic Significance for Both Parties Steven Townend, Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director of BOC Aviation, expressed enthusiasm about the partnership, highlighting the significance of the A350-1000 delivery as a demonstration of the company’s commitment to supporting the aviation industry with cutting-edge technology. Townend emphasized BOC Aviation’s position as the largest aircraft operating lessor headquartered in Asia, noting that its financial strength and extensive order book enable it to provide both capital and capacity to its airline customers. From Philippine Airlines’ perspective, the deal represents a critical milestone in its fleet modernization efforts. Richard Nuttall, President of PAL, underscored the importance of integrating the Airbus A350-1000 into the airline’s fleet, describing it as a pivotal step toward maintaining one of the youngest and most fuel-efficient fleets in the region. Nuttall also highlighted the benefits of enhanced passenger comfort, reliability, and operational efficiency, while affirming that the partnership with BOC Aviation aligns with PAL’s broader strategy to bolster global competitiveness and support sustainable network growth. Market Context and Industry Implications The transaction reflects BOC Aviation’s ongoing strategy to expand its customer base and facilitate fleet renewal with advanced aircraft models. However, the company faces challenges inherent in a highly competitive aircraft leasing market, including managing the financial impact of the deal and ensuring the operational efficiency of the new aircraft. Industry analysts and investors are expected to closely monitor the transaction, evaluating the financial health and strategic positioning of both BOC Aviation and Philippine Airlines. Meanwhile, competitors such as AerCap and other major lessors may adjust their strategies in response to maintain or enhance their market share. In a broader industry context, recent developments include Azorra’s sale of two Airbus A330-300 aircraft to Xiamen Aircraft Leasing, a China-based lessor. These aircraft, manufactured in 2013 and 2014 and powered by Rolls-Royce Trent 700 engines, are currently leased to Sichuan Airlines. John Evans, CEO of Azorra, highlighted the importance of cross-cultural collaboration in facilitating the deal, while Edward Chen, CEO of Xiamen Airlease, expressed optimism about establishing a long-term partnership. Separately, Avolon announced the pricing of an $850 million private offering of 4.700% senior unsecured notes due in 2031. The proceeds from this offering are intended for general corporate purposes, including potential debt repayment, with the transaction expected to close in December 2025, subject to customary conditions. These developments collectively illustrate the dynamic and competitive nature of the global aircraft leasing sector, as lessors and airlines pursue strategies to modernize fleets, optimize financing structures, and adapt to evolving market demands.

Air Taxis Promise Relief from Miami’s Worsening Traffic Archer Aviation is set to introduce its innovative “Midnight” aircraft to South Florida, presenting a high-tech solution to the city’s escalating traffic congestion. This vertical-landing air taxi is engineered to carry up to four passengers at speeds reaching 150 miles per hour. Company representatives emphasize the aircraft’s safety features, quiet operation, and zero-emission design, positioning it as a forward-thinking alternative to conventional transportation methods in the Miami region. Regulatory and Infrastructure Challenges Despite the promise of this new mode of transport, significant challenges remain before air taxis can become a common sight in Miami’s skies. Securing regulatory approval is a major obstacle, as aviation authorities and local governments collaborate to develop comprehensive guidelines for low-altitude urban flights. Furthermore, the establishment of essential infrastructure—including landing pads and charging stations—will demand considerable investment and close coordination with city planners to integrate these facilities seamlessly into the urban environment. Public Reception and Market Dynamics Public acceptance also plays a critical role in the potential success of air taxis. While many residents and commuters may welcome the prospect of faster and cleaner travel options, concerns persist regarding safety, noise pollution, and the visual impact of increased aerial traffic over the city. Nonetheless, the market response has been encouraging. Growing frustration with Miami’s traffic congestion has sparked heightened interest among investors and prospective customers alike, with both daily commuters and tourists attracted to the possibility of bypassing gridlocked roads. Competition in Urban Mobility The competition within the autonomous vehicle sector is intensifying, with companies such as Waymo already operating self-driving taxis in Miami and expanding their services. As more firms enter this burgeoning market, Miami is rapidly emerging as a testing ground for the future of urban transportation. Both air and ground-based autonomous vehicles are competing to capture the attention and patronage of the city’s commuters. As Archer Aviation prepares to showcase the Midnight aircraft, the coming years will be pivotal in determining whether air taxis can surmount regulatory, infrastructural, and public perception challenges to establish themselves as a permanent feature in Miami’s evolving transportation landscape.

Philippine Airlines Expands Fleet with $490 Million Airbus A320 Order Philippine Airlines Ltd. (PAL), under the ownership of prominent businessman Lucio Tan, has confirmed the acquisition of five additional Airbus A320 aircraft in a transaction valued at $490 million, according to London-based aviation consultancy Axon Aviation. This strategic purchase aims to leverage the recent surge in travel demand, which has significantly contributed to the airline’s improved profitability. Fleet Expansion and Delivery Schedule PAL has already taken delivery of the first aircraft from this latest order, with a second expected to arrive within the current month. The remaining three A320s are slated for delivery in 2026. Upon completion of this acquisition, the airline’s fleet will grow to a total of 80 aircraft, including 16 A320s dedicated to servicing vital domestic routes throughout the Philippines. Rabbi Vincent Ang, vice president of PAL Express—the budget subsidiary of the national carrier—emphasized the benefits of the expansion, stating that increasing the A320 fleet will offer travelers enhanced reliability, convenience, and comfort. Broader Modernization Strategy Amid Industry Challenges This purchase forms part of PAL’s comprehensive fleet modernization and expansion plan, which also encompasses future acquisitions of Airbus A350-1000s and A321neo jets. However, the airline’s latest order coincides with industry-wide concerns following a recent software update alert affecting A320 aircraft. Airlines worldwide have been compelled to address these technical issues, which pose potential risks of operational disruptions that could impact delivery schedules and fleet deployment. In response, competitors may adjust their fleet strategies or implement contingency measures to mitigate possible delays. The aviation market is closely monitoring how carriers, including PAL, will navigate capacity planning and negotiate delivery timelines in light of these software-related challenges. Despite these uncertainties, Philippine Airlines remains committed to strengthening its domestic network and enhancing the passenger experience through its ongoing fleet renewal initiatives.

Airbus Lowers Annual Delivery Forecast Amid Quality Concerns Airbus has announced a downward revision of its annual commercial aircraft delivery forecast, attributing the adjustment to quality issues involving fuselage panels on its A320neo family. The European aerospace giant now anticipates delivering approximately 790 aircraft in 2025, marking a 4% reduction from its earlier target of 820. This revision follows a series of operational challenges, including engine delays, seat supply shortages, and a recent software malfunction affecting around 6,000 A320 aircraft. Delivery Challenges and Quality Issues By October 31, Airbus had delivered 585 commercial aircraft, leaving a demanding target of roughly 235 units to be completed before the end of the year to meet the revised forecast. The company acknowledged that even prior to the latest complications, the delivery goal was ambitious. The fuselage panel problem stems from metal components supplied by a particular subcontractor and has affected several dozen, potentially hundreds, of aircraft within the A320neo series. Although the issue is considered contained and limited in scope, it has disrupted the supply chain and delivery schedule. Newly manufactured panels now comply with quality standards, but aircraft potentially impacted by the earlier defect require thorough inspection and, if necessary, modification before they can be delivered. Financial Outlook and Market Response Despite these operational setbacks, Airbus has maintained its financial targets for the year. The announcement was met with a positive response from investors, with the company’s shares rising as confidence remained strong in Airbus’s capacity to manage the situation effectively and sustain profitability. The convergence of quality concerns, supply chain disruptions, and prior technical difficulties has created a challenging environment for Airbus as it approaches the end of the year. The compressed timeline to meet the revised delivery target highlights the persistent pressures facing the global aerospace sector.

Base Maintenance Malaysia Completes First Heavy Check on Singapore Airlines Airbus A350 Base Maintenance Malaysia (BMM), the newly established maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) center operated by SIA Engineering Company (SIAEC), has successfully conducted its inaugural C-Check on a Singapore Airlines Airbus A350 at Subang Airport (SZB), near Kuala Lumpur. This achievement represents a key milestone in BMM’s strategic expansion to enhance its capacity for servicing wide-body aircraft, including the Airbus A350, Boeing 777, and 787, while offering more cost-effective solutions compared to SIAEC’s primary facility in Changi. Strategic Expansion Amid Industry Challenges The launch of BMM occurs at a critical juncture for the aviation industry. Recent quality concerns involving Airbus’ A320neo family—particularly issues related to fuselage panel inspections—have caused delivery delays and increased investor apprehension, highlighting the vital importance of dependable maintenance operations. Despite these setbacks, demand for the Airbus A350 remains robust. Notably, Qantas is developing a new A350-1000ULR variant intended to operate the world’s longest non-stop flights, while Malaysia Airlines is actively considering options to replace its current A350-900 fleet, with a decision anticipated by the first quarter of 2026. Facility Capabilities and Technological Integration BMM was established by Singapore Airlines’ MRO subsidiary to bolster heavy maintenance capabilities within Southeast Asia. The facility comprises two hangars capable of accommodating up to six wide-body aircraft simultaneously, complementing SIA Engineering’s existing operations at Clark, Philippines (SIAEP). From its inception, BMM has pursued a paperless operational model, employing Trax’s eMRO and eMobility platforms—developed by the US-based independent MRO company AAR—to ensure comprehensive traceability and optimize aircraft turnaround times. The center holds certifications from both the Civil Aviation Authority of Malaysia (CAAM) and the Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore (CAAS). As the aviation sector continues to confront production and quality challenges, BMM’s successful completion of its first heavy maintenance check on a Singapore Airlines A350 underscores the increasing significance of advanced, cost-efficient MRO facilities in supporting airline operations and fleet renewal strategies throughout the region.

DAE to Lease Ten Boeing 737 MAX 8 Aircraft to AJet Through Turkish Airlines Dubai Aerospace Enterprise (DAE) has finalized a long-term lease agreement with AJet, the low-cost subsidiary of Turkish Airlines, for ten new Boeing 737-8 aircraft. Deliveries are scheduled to take place between 2026 and 2027, with the aircraft set to bolster AJet’s medium-haul fleet as part of its ongoing expansion strategy. Strategic Expansion Amid Market Growth This agreement arrives amid a period of growth in the Turkish aviation sector, where the Ministry of Transport reported a 5.7% increase in air movements during the first half of 2025. DAE, which manages a portfolio of 236 Boeing aircraft—including 119 from the 737 MAX family—views the deal as a significant step in strengthening its long-term partnership with Turkish Airlines. The lease is intended to address AJet’s increasing demand for additional capacity as it seeks to expand its market presence. Industry Challenges and Market Implications Despite the positive outlook, the leasing of Boeing 737 MAX aircraft continues to face scrutiny due to regulatory challenges and safety concerns stemming from previous incidents involving the model. These issues may affect DAE’s operational costs and reputation, while also influencing investor sentiment. The announcement is likely to trigger fluctuations in the stock prices of both DAE and Boeing, reflecting broader market reactions to the ongoing deployment of the 737 MAX. The deal may also have wider repercussions across the aviation industry. Competing carriers could reevaluate their fleet acquisition strategies, potentially accelerating or postponing orders for similar aircraft, especially those considering the 737 MAX. Turkish Airlines’ choice to lease through DAE might encourage other airlines to explore comparable leasing arrangements as they contend with supply chain disruptions and delays in aircraft deliveries. AJet’s Fleet and Growth Prospects Currently, AJet operates a fleet exceeding 80 aircraft, predominantly Boeing single-aisle models, including 18 Boeing 737-8s. The addition of these ten new aircraft is expected to support the airline’s growth ambitions in an increasingly competitive and dynamic market environment.