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Embraer Projects 100 Commercial Aircraft Deliveries Annually by 2028

Embraer Aims for 100 Commercial Aircraft Deliveries Annually by 2028
Embraer, the Brazilian regional jet manufacturer and the world’s third-largest planemaker, has announced an ambitious target to deliver 100 commercial aircraft annually by 2028. This projection comes amid ongoing trade tensions between Brazil and the United States but is underpinned by a significant new order from Avelo Airlines for 50 E195-E2 jets. The company plans to ramp up production over the next two and a half years, signaling a strong recovery and growth trajectory following the disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.
Production Outlook and Industry Challenges
Embraer forecasts delivering between 77 and 85 commercial jets in 2025, marking an approximate 10% increase compared to recent years. The last time the company reached the milestone of 100 annual deliveries was in 2017, and it aims to replicate this achievement as supply chain conditions gradually improve. However, the path to reaching triple-digit output remains fraught with challenges. Persistent supply chain bottlenecks and shortages of critical components, particularly the GE Aerospace CF34 turbofan engines, continue to hamper production of the popular E175 regional jets.
While the broader business aviation market benefits from rising global wealth and increased demand, supply chain constraints remain a significant obstacle. Industry leaders, including Embraer Executive Jets and Dassault Falcon Jet, have highlighted the urgent need for a more resilient supply ecosystem to sustain long-term growth. Embraer’s CEO, Francisco Gomes Neto, acknowledged these difficulties, stating, “2026 will still be a more challenging year for commercial jet production. Starting in 2027, we'll resume our strong growth plan, and I expect that in 2028 we'll be hitting 100 commercial aircraft per year.” The company has taken steps to mitigate disruptions that affected deliveries in 2024, but the fragility of global supply chains requires ongoing vigilance.
Strategic Orders and Market Position
A pivotal element in Embraer’s growth strategy is the recent $4.4 billion contract with Avelo Airlines, which will provide a steady production pipeline as deliveries commence in 2027. Avelo, a rapidly expanding US carrier launched in 2021, currently operates a fleet of 22 Boeing 737 Next Generation aircraft and focuses on serving underserved airports across the United States. Embraer remains a key supplier to the US regional jet market, with many major carriers’ subsidiaries operating fleets dominated by Embraer aircraft.
The E195-E2, the latest and largest model in Embraer’s E-Jet family, is central to the company’s expansion plans. With a substantial backlog of 190 firm orders, the aircraft is expected to drive future growth despite ongoing supply chain and competitive pressures. The company’s commercial aircraft order book reflects strong demand across its product range, underscoring Embraer’s continued relevance in the global aviation industry.
| Aircraft Type | Firm Orders | Deliveries | Backlog |
|---|---|---|---|
| E170 | 191 | 191 | 0 |
| E175 | 1000 | 792 | 208 |
| E190 | 568 | 568 | 0 |
| E195 | 172 | 172 | 0 |
| E190-E2 | 67 | 28 | 39 |
| E195-E2 | 330 | 140 | 190 |

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