IATA Says Airlines Hesitant to Accept Aircraft Deliveries Amid Tariff Uncertainty

ACTSI Advances Subic MRO Facility with Strategic Hangar Expansion Aviation Concepts Technical Services Incorporated (ACTSI), a prominent provider of business jet maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services in the Asia-Pacific region, has commenced construction on a significant hangar expansion at Subic Bay International Airport. The groundbreaking ceremony was attended by notable officials, including Atty. Von F. Rodriguez, Chief of Staff to SBMA Chairman Eduardo Alino, and Atty. Kristoff Roman, SBMA Deputy Administrator of Port Operations. Representatives from project partners PrimeBMD and Colliers Philippines, namely CEO Justin Devantier and Managing Director Richard Raymundo, respectively, were also present alongside ACTSI’s executive leadership. Expanding Capacity to Meet Growing Demand The new 7,000-square-meter hangar, developed in partnership with PrimeBMD and Colliers, is designed to comply with international aviation maintenance standards and to address the increasing demand for premium business aviation MRO services in the region. TJ Trinidad, President of ACTSI, emphasized that this investment aligns with the company’s vision to establish itself as a leading independent MRO provider in the Asia-Pacific. He described the new facility as Phase 2 of ACTSI’s long-term strategy to substantially expand capacity in response to its growing client base. Scheduled for completion by May 2026, the expanded facility is expected to enhance Subic’s position as a critical hub for business aviation. This development supports the Philippines’ broader ambitions to emerge as a regional center of aviation excellence, reinforcing the country’s strategic role in the global aviation industry. Navigating Intensifying Global Competition ACTSI’s expansion occurs amid heightened competition within the global MRO sector. Emerging facilities such as Safran’s Leap MRO in Casablanca, anticipated to commence operations in 2027, and Jets MRO’s planned establishment of the largest independent business aviation MRO facility in the southwestern United States, are reshaping the competitive landscape. These new entrants may challenge ACTSI’s market position by potentially adjusting pricing, service offerings, and operational efficiencies to secure their market shares. Despite these competitive pressures, ACTSI’s substantial investment reflects its commitment to meeting the rising demand for high-quality business aviation support. The company’s strategic expansion is positioned to leverage regional growth opportunities while adapting to the evolving dynamics of the global MRO environment.

Georgia Tech and NASA Collaborate on Autonomous Flight Innovation at New Aviation Laboratory ATLANTA, Ga. — In a significant step toward transforming urban transportation, Georgia Tech has partnered with NASA to advance autonomous flight research through the newly established Aircraft Prototyping Laboratory on its West Campus. This collaboration centers on the “RAVEN” project, which aims to develop next-generation electric and autonomous air vehicles that could revolutionize air mobility in metropolitan areas. Advancing Air Mobility Through Electrification and Automation Under the leadership of aerospace engineer Professor Brian German, the RAVEN project is focused on overcoming critical technical challenges associated with autonomous air taxis. These include reducing aircraft noise and enhancing battery performance—complex issues that extend well beyond the incremental scaling of current drone technologies. The laboratory will serve as a dedicated hub for addressing propulsion and integration obstacles, with the ultimate goal of making air taxis a viable and practical option for mass transit. The autonomous air vehicles envisioned by the project resemble tilt-rotor helicopters, such as the V-22 Osprey, but are designed to operate at a fraction of the cost and with the efficiency required for widespread rideshare applications. German described the initiative as a major advancement in aviation, noting that private companies like Joby Aviation and Archer Aviation are already developing manned tilt-rotor prototypes and seeking certification from the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA). Challenges and Industry Implications Despite the promising outlook, the path to fully autonomous flight remains fraught with challenges. Regulatory approval processes, technological integration complexities, and funding limitations pose significant hurdles for both Georgia Tech and NASA. The research team anticipates that extensive testing and development will be necessary over several years before these vehicles can be deployed commercially. Public acceptance also remains uncertain, with German acknowledging the unpredictability of societal response to autonomous air travel. The broader aviation industry is closely watching these developments, as the demand for flexible, cost-effective alternatives to traditional crewed aircraft grows. Some companies are exploring partnerships to accelerate technological progress, while others are competing to establish market leadership. Recent industry data highlights the increasing emphasis on technology readiness as the sector evolves toward autonomous solutions. As the RAVEN project progresses, the collaboration between Georgia Tech and NASA has the potential to lay the foundation for a new era of urban air mobility, fundamentally altering how people navigate cities and their surrounding regions.

Airbus and Boeing Report September 2025 Aircraft Orders and Deliveries In September 2025, Boeing maintained its lead in aircraft orders over Airbus, yet Airbus experienced a significant increase in deliveries, particularly within its narrowbody segment. This development highlights the ongoing competitiveness and dynamism of the global aviation market. Deliveries and Production Performance During the month, Boeing delivered a total of 55 aircraft, consisting of 41 narrowbodies and 14 widebodies, a slight decrease from the 57 units delivered in August. In contrast, Airbus delivered 73 aircraft, up from 61 the previous month, with 68 narrowbodies and 5 widebodies. This surge was primarily driven by the A320 family, which, for the first time, surpassed the Boeing 737 as the most-delivered commercial jet in a single month. This milestone underscores Airbus’s adaptability and strong market position, supported by a robust order backlog and Boeing’s ongoing manufacturing challenges. By the end of September, Airbus had delivered 507 aircraft toward its 2025 target of 820, requiring an average of 104 deliveries per month in the final quarter to meet its goal. Boeing’s year-to-date deliveries stood at 440 aircraft. Forecast International projects Boeing will reach 590 deliveries in 2025, necessitating an average of 50 deliveries per month through the end of the year, a target consistent with Boeing’s current monthly output. Order Activity and Program Developments Boeing secured 96 gross orders in September, bolstered by significant agreements with Turkish and Norwegian airlines. Despite this strong order intake, Boeing continues to grapple with delays in its 777X program. The first delivery of the 777X, initially scheduled for 2026 to Lufthansa, has been postponed to 2027 due to ongoing certification challenges. These delays have caused frustration among major customers, including Emirates, which has over 200 units on order. September deliveries for Boeing included 40 737 MAXs, one 737NG, four 767s, three 777s, and seven 787s (six 787-9s and one 787-10). The 787 program remains a positive aspect for Boeing, with production stabilized at seven aircraft per month and strong order activity. The company aims to increase 787 output to 10 units per month by 2026. The 777 program is also progressing steadily, with 29 deliveries through September, averaging three per month. Airbus’s September deliveries comprised nine A220s, 59 aircraft from the A320neo family, four A330s, and one A350. Although the A320neo family has faced production challenges, output improved in September, reinforcing Airbus’s leadership in the narrowbody market. However, the A350 program continues to underperform, averaging only 3.5 deliveries per month so far this year. Industry Outlook The competitive landscape in commercial aviation is evolving, with Embraer forecasting a potential challenge to the longstanding Airbus-Boeing duopoly. This prediction suggests a possible market shift as new entrants seek to capitalize on production delays and changing airline preferences. As Airbus strives to meet its ambitious annual delivery target and Boeing focuses on stabilizing production and maintaining quality, both manufacturers face increasing pressure from customers and emerging competitors. The final quarter of 2025 will be pivotal, with industry observers closely monitoring whether Airbus can sustain its delivery momentum and if Boeing can resolve its production challenges.

American Airlines’ New AI Trip Planner: Innovation Meets Growing Pains American Airlines has introduced an AI-powered "destination recommender" designed to revolutionize the way travelers plan their journeys. By responding to simple prompts such as "I want to ski in January," the tool quickly suggests destinations like Aspen, Whistler, or Niseko, Japan, alongside flight options priced between $270 and $1,000. This initiative aligns with a broader industry movement, as airlines increasingly adopt artificial intelligence to influence travel decisions and compete with platforms like ChatGPT and Google’s "Flight Plans." Features and Functionality The AI trip planner operates much like a personal travel agent. Users input a prompt, and the system generates tailored destination ideas, available flights, fares, hotels, restaurants, and activities. It includes both American Airlines-operated and partner flights, with the option to search for mileage redemptions—though these are limited to American flights. Additional options appear further down the interface, encouraging users to explore beyond the initial suggestions. This tool offers notable convenience and can introduce travelers to destinations they might not have previously considered. For example, a recent test using the prompt "nature and cabin vibes for less than $300 for airfare for four days in November, nonstop flights only" from LaGuardia Airport recommended Asheville, North Carolina, complete with round-trip fares and local activity suggestions. Limitations and Accuracy Concerns Despite its promise, the AI planner exhibits several shortcomings. In the aforementioned test, the system included one-stop flight options to locations such as Flagstaff, Lake Tahoe, and Estes Park, Colorado, despite the explicit request for nonstop flights. Some layovers were only revealed after further clicks, and certain destinations, like Gatlinburg, Tennessee, were incorrectly labeled as nonstop. These inconsistencies underscore the challenge American Airlines faces in ensuring the accuracy and reliability of its AI-generated recommendations. Industry observers have noted these issues. A Business Insider review highlighted instances of outdated or incorrect information, which could frustrate users and potentially drive them toward competing services. Travel experts offer a balanced perspective: Paul Stewart, founder of MyBaggage, praised the tool for advancing AI travel booking but emphasized that it cannot replace the nuanced insights of seasoned travelers. Similarly, Sonia Bhagwan, CEO of Dreaming of Sun, remarked that computers cannot replicate the insider knowledge of local favorites or hidden gems. Market Implications and Future Prospects Reactions to American Airlines’ AI trip planner are expected to be mixed. Some travelers will welcome the speed and ease of AI-driven planning as a cost-effective alternative to traditional travel advisors. Others may continue to value the personalized service and expert guidance that human agents provide. In response, competitors may enhance their own AI offerings or reinforce personalized services to maintain market share. As AI tools like this become more widespread, they have the potential to disrupt conventional travel booking practices and redefine the role of human agents within the industry. While American Airlines’ new trip planner demonstrates significant potential, addressing its current limitations will be essential to gaining the trust of travelers seeking both inspiration and dependable information.

Archer Aviation and Game Aerospace Executives Discuss Future Technology Advances On the opening day of the 2025 NBAA Business Aviation Convention & Exhibition (NBAA-BACE), Archer Aviation CEO Adam Goldstein and Game Aerospace Co-Founder and Chairman Steuart Walton shared their perspectives on the transformative forces shaping the future of aviation technology. Speaking to a full audience at the Flight Deck stage, the executives explored how innovation in the sector is propelled by the dynamic interaction of technological progress, regulatory frameworks, and workforce development. Vision for the Future of Urban Air Mobility Adam Goldstein outlined a long-term vision for the aviation industry, emphasizing a shift toward everyday use of air travel. He described this future as one where flying becomes an integral part of daily life, driven by advancements in electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft. Archer Aviation’s flagship project, the four-passenger Midnight eVTOL air taxi, is approaching FAA type certification and aims to provide fast, emissions-free transportation over congested urban environments. Despite Archer’s impressive growth—evidenced by a nearly 300% increase in stock price over the past year and a $6 billion order backlog—the company faces significant challenges. These include securing FAA certification, scaling production capabilities, and proving the economic viability of electric air taxis. The enthusiasm surrounding the market has intensified competition, prompting rivals to accelerate research and development efforts and forge strategic partnerships in the race to dominate the emerging eVTOL sector. Building an Industrial Base and Workforce for Innovation Steuart Walton highlighted the critical role of a strong industrial foundation and skilled workforce in sustaining aviation innovation. He underscored the importance of revitalizing domestic manufacturing and creating jobs through cutting-edge projects. Walton pointed to initiatives such as a new STEM school focused on applied learning and artificial intelligence, set to open on the former Walmart campus in Bentonville, Arkansas. This institution aims to foster an engineering mindset within the local university community, enhancing the region’s talent pool. As a prominent advocate for advanced air mobility, Walton has also positioned Bentonville as a burgeoning hub for aerospace innovation by hosting the UP.Summit. This event convenes leaders, entrepreneurs, and investors dedicated to advancing human mobility. Walton stressed the need to expand the community of innovators by attracting the brightest minds, cultivating mentorships, and deepening access to capital markets. He asserted that broadening this “tent” will drive greater competitiveness and accelerate technological breakthroughs. Game Aerospace is contributing to the sector’s evolution with the development of the GB2 StormBird, the first purpose-built single-engine air tanker designed specifically for wildfire response in the United States. This aircraft is engineered to meet the rigorous demands of wildfire operations, addressing a critical need in emergency response capabilities. The Role of Artificial Intelligence and Regulatory Support Artificial intelligence is anticipated to be a key driver of future advancements in aviation. Goldstein highlighted AI’s potential to revolutionize air traffic control by harnessing the extensive data generated by the national aircraft fleet. On the regulatory front, he commended a recent executive order by President Donald Trump aimed at expediting the development of eVTOL air taxis. Goldstein noted that the integration pilot program, set to launch next summer, will designate five cities where these aircraft will begin point-to-point commercial operations, marking a significant milestone in the sector’s commercialization. As Archer Aviation and Game Aerospace continue to advance their respective projects, the interplay of technology, regulation, and workforce development will remain central to the ongoing transformation of the aviation industry.

American Airlines Uses AI to Enhance Travel Experience and Support Tourism American Airlines has introduced a generative artificial intelligence (AI) tool aimed at revolutionizing the way travelers plan their trips. Soon to be accessible via the airline’s mobile app, this innovative platform harnesses real-time travel trends, customer preferences, and live fare data to provide personalized recommendations. By offering insights into destinations, optimal travel dates, and curated activities, the tool seeks to streamline the booking process and empower users to make well-informed decisions. Transforming Trip Planning Through AI The AI-driven system enables travelers to input broad trip concepts—such as a week-long culinary and exploration getaway with friends—and receive immediate, tailored suggestions. These include recommended destinations, fare options, and an interactive map showcasing nearby attractions. Unlike traditional planning tools that focus primarily on locations, American Airlines’ AI emphasizes the experiences travelers desire, making the process more engaging and relevant to individual interests. This experience-based approach adapts dynamically to user preferences, ensuring that recommendations remain current and personalized. By simplifying the discovery of new destinations and activities, the tool aims to enhance the overall travel planning experience. Enhancements Beyond AI In addition to the AI platform, American Airlines has upgraded its check-in kiosks and introduced a 3D seat map for its Boeing 787-9 aircraft. These improvements are designed to make booking and seat selection more intuitive, further elevating the customer journey from start to finish. Industry Impact and Emerging Challenges While American Airlines positions its AI initiative as a significant advancement in customer convenience and tourism promotion, the broader adoption of such technology presents notable challenges. The 2025 Innovation Trends report by Phocuswright highlights concerns about potential job displacement among traditional travel agents, as automated systems increasingly assume roles once performed by humans. Consumer trust also remains a critical issue. Some travelers express skepticism regarding AI’s ability to replicate the nuanced, personalized service offered by experienced agents. Furthermore, the reliability of AI-generated recommendations has been questioned. A recent survey by Global Rescue pointed to risks such as AI suggesting nonexistent or unsafe landmarks, emphasizing the necessity for stringent safeguards and oversight. Competitors within the airline industry are closely monitoring these developments, with many expected to introduce similar AI-driven tools to enhance their booking processes and customer experiences. This signals a broader industry shift toward automation and personalization. Future Outlook As American Airlines integrates AI into its suite of customer services, the airline aspires to establish a new benchmark for personalized and efficient travel planning. The ultimate success of this technology will depend on its ability to deliver relevant, safe recommendations while effectively addressing the concerns of travelers and industry stakeholders in an increasingly digital environment.

CORRIDOR Introduces AI Operations Manager in Partnership with West Star Aviation Advancing Predictive Intelligence in Aviation Maintenance MERRIMACK, N.H. — CORRIDOR, a product line under CAMP Systems, has unveiled its AI Operations Manager, a predictive intelligence solution designed to revolutionize aviation maintenance operations. This new tool, developed as part of CAMP’s expanding suite of AI technologies, aims to assist service centers and maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) organizations in enhancing planning accuracy, improving customer experience, and ensuring consistent operational performance. West Star Aviation, a prominent provider of business aviation MRO services, has been named the exclusive launch partner for the AI Operations Manager. By utilizing its extensive historical ERP data, West Star intends to optimize maintenance scheduling, reduce turnaround times, allocate labor more effectively, and minimize unforeseen project complications. Allen McReynolds, COO and President of West Star Aviation, emphasized the strategic value of the collaboration, stating, “West Star Aviation is committed to embracing innovative approaches that elevate our service offerings. This partnership with CORRIDOR enables us to accurately anticipate operational requirements, enhance efficiency, and uphold our promise of timely delivery to our customers.” Industry Implications and Technological Foundations Sean Lanagan, President and CEO of CAMP Systems International, underscored the broader industry transformation driven by predictive technologies. He remarked, “The aviation industry is at an inflection point where predictive technologies will define competitive advantage. With AI Operations Manager, CAMP is leading that shift by helping our customers move to a more strategic, data-driven approach to maintenance.” Peter Velikin, General Manager of CAMP Enterprise Information Systems, highlighted the technological underpinnings of the solution. He explained, “Automation and AI are ushering in a new era in aviation maintenance. With our patented AI models, the AI Operations Manager ensures faster turnarounds, consistent quality, and smarter utilization of assets, all driven by a service center’s own historical ERP data.” Despite the promise of AI integration, challenges remain in aligning the new system with existing workflows and addressing the diverse operational needs of West Star Aviation. Industry experts note ongoing skepticism regarding AI’s capacity to manage the complexities inherent in aviation maintenance, particularly amid broader concerns about AI risk management—a subject recently discussed at the Axios AI+ DC Summit. Market Dynamics and Future Outlook The introduction of the AI Operations Manager is likely to influence competitive dynamics within the aviation technology sector. Rivals may accelerate their AI initiatives or enhance current offerings to maintain market relevance. Furthermore, the aviation industry’s continued dependence on consulting services to navigate growth and sustainability challenges could affect the pace and extent of AI adoption. This launch aligns with CAMP’s overarching mission to modernize aviation aftermarket operations through data-driven innovation. As the sector contends with both the opportunities and uncertainties presented by AI, the partnership between CORRIDOR and West Star Aviation will serve as a critical benchmark for the integration of predictive intelligence in aviation maintenance. About CORRIDOR CORRIDOR, a CAMP Systems product line, provides cloud-based aviation service center software utilized by maintenance organizations worldwide, supporting operations ranging from single-location centers to extensive global repair networks. About West Star Aviation West Star Aviation offers comprehensive maintenance, repair, and overhaul services for business aviation, operating multiple full-service facilities across the United States and serving a global clientele.

IATA Warns Supply Chain Issues Could Slow Airline Growth The International Air Transport Association (IATA) has issued a cautionary report highlighting how persistent supply chain bottlenecks are poised to hinder the airline industry’s anticipated growth. Delays in aircraft production and escalating maintenance costs are forcing carriers to reconsider their fleet expansion strategies, often resulting in the prolonged use of older aircraft. Production Delays and Economic Impact IATA’s report, released on October 13, underscores that disruptions within the aerospace supply chain are causing significant delays in the delivery of new aircraft and essential parts. This situation has compelled airlines to adjust their fleet plans, frequently opting to keep aging planes operational for longer periods. The global commercial aircraft backlog surged to a record high of over 17,000 units last year, well above the 2010-2019 average of approximately 13,000 annually. These delays are expected to cost the airline industry more than $11 billion in 2025, driven by increased fuel consumption, higher maintenance expenses, additional engine leasing fees, and surplus inventory holding costs. IATA attributes these challenges to a combination of factors, including geopolitical instability, raw material shortages, and tight labor markets, all of which disrupt the aerospace industry's economic model. Director General William M. Walsh emphasized the critical importance of a reliable supply chain for airlines, noting the unprecedented wait times for aircraft, engines, and parts, alongside unpredictable delivery schedules. Broader Supply Chain Challenges and Industry Responses Beyond aircraft and components, supply chain issues are also affecting the availability of sustainable aviation fuels (SAF), which are vital to the sector’s decarbonization goals. Fragmented policies and mandates, such as the European Union’s RefuelEU initiative, have introduced additional complexities, sometimes producing unintended consequences for airlines striving to secure dependable SAF supplies. In response, some carriers are revising their growth strategies, enhancing collaboration efforts, and lobbying for policies that ensure equitable access to SAF feedstocks. Market reactions have varied, with airlines adjusting fleet expansion plans and seeking innovative solutions to mitigate supply chain disruptions. Industry players are forming partnerships to address these challenges and advocating for harmonized regulations that support sustainable growth across the sector. The GEP Global Supply Chain Volatility Index further indicates that global supply chains remain below full capacity, exacerbating the difficulties airlines face in managing fleet operations and expansion. Regional Perspectives and Financial Outlook Despite these headwinds, IATA projects the aviation sector will achieve a net profit of $36 billion in 2025, an increase from $32.4 billion in 2024, even amid ongoing global economic uncertainty. Nigel Paul C. Villarete, senior adviser at Libra Konsult, Inc., observed that while supply chain disruptions are likely to affect the Philippines, the impact may be less severe compared to other regions. He explained that the country functions more as a supplier or recipient destination rather than a transit hub in the supply chain, making its aviation growth closely tied to the overall national economic performance. Villarete also noted that shifts in supply chain arrangements could create winners and losers among airlines, depending on how changes in supply origins, delivery routes, and operational dynamics unfold. IATA’s report further highlights that the continued use of older, less fuel-efficient aircraft due to delivery delays is driving up fuel and maintenance costs, as aging fleets require more frequent and costly upkeep.

The Economics of Dismantling a Six-Year-Old Aircraft Shifting Strategies in Aircraft Asset Management The aviation industry is experiencing an unexpected development: the dismantling of aircraft as young as six years old. At the recent MRO Europe conference in London, Scott Symington, Chief Commercial Officer at aviation services provider AJW, explained the economic factors driving this emerging trend. Increasingly, lessors are choosing to part out newer aircraft rather than maintain them in service or attempt to remarket them. This shift is largely influenced by the strong demand and limited supply of engines and spare parts, which has altered the financial calculus for fleet management worldwide. Symington highlighted that parting out aircraft offers lessors a higher immediate return compared to leasing the entire plane. He provided a concrete example involving geared turbofan (GTF) engines: leasing two such engines can generate approximately $500,000 per month—$250,000 per engine—whereas leasing the complete aircraft, including both airframe and engines, yields only $450,000 to $460,000 monthly before accounting for transition and remarketing expenses. At the six-year mark, lessors recognize that dismantling the aircraft to lease engines separately and selling the airframe can be more profitable. This realization has led to the parting out of relatively young models such as the A320neo. Industry Challenges and Financial Pressures This trend emerges amid ongoing supply chain disruptions that continue to delay aircraft production and maintenance schedules. The International Air Transport Association (IATA) projects that these disruptions will cost the global airline industry over $11 billion in 2025. Consequently, airlines are compelled to extend the operational life of older aircraft beyond initial plans, resulting in increased fuel consumption and escalating maintenance expenses. The prolonged use of aging fleets has driven up spending on maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services. In response, airlines and lessors are increasingly pursuing joint ventures and collaborative strategies in aircraft leasing and maintenance to mitigate the financial burdens associated with operating older aircraft. These cooperative approaches aim to optimize resource allocation and manage costs more effectively in a challenging market environment. Rethinking Asset Management Amid Market Realities The decision to dismantle relatively new aircraft reflects more than a pursuit of immediate profit; it is a strategic response to broader industry dynamics. Supply chain constraints, rising operational costs, and a lucrative market for spare parts are compelling lessors to reconsider traditional asset management models. Under different market conditions, many of these aircraft might have remained in service for many additional years. However, the current economic landscape is reshaping how aviation assets are valued and utilized, with significant implications for the future of fleet management.

Honeywell Forecasts Record Demand for Business Jets Honeywell has unveiled its 34th annual Global Business Aviation Outlook, projecting an unprecedented surge in demand for business jets over the next decade. The report anticipates 8,500 new business jet deliveries valued at $283 billion between now and 2034, marking the highest forecast in the survey’s history. This growth corresponds to an average annual increase of 3%, underscoring a robust expansion in the sector despite ongoing macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties. The analysis, derived from extensive surveys of business aviation operators worldwide, identifies several key drivers behind this growth. These include recent economic expansion, a rising interest in fractional ownership models, and a continuous introduction of new aircraft models and technological advancements. Heath Patrick, president of Americas Aftermarket at Honeywell Aerospace Technologies, emphasized that operators are increasing their usage rates while manufacturers are scaling production to meet the growing demand. He anticipates that these record-setting delivery and usage levels will persist throughout the coming decade. Market Trends and Industry Challenges The report highlights that new business jet deliveries in 2026 are expected to rise by 5% compared to 2025, maintaining a steady 3% average annual growth rate through 2034. Operator sentiment remains positive, with 91% of surveyed operators expecting to fly more or maintain current flight levels in 2026 relative to the previous year. Furthermore, 20% of operators globally have at least one aircraft on firm order, an increase from 17% last year. This figure is even higher among private jet charter operators, reaching 28%. Performance continues to be a critical factor influencing purchase decisions, cited by 89% of respondents as a top-three criterion, up from 82% the previous year. Cost considerations rank second at 56%, slightly down from 60%. The demand for fractional ownership remains a significant growth catalyst, particularly for midsize and super midsize jets. Since 2019, fractional fleets have expanded by over 65%, now comprising approximately 1,300 aircraft. Notably, 12% of operators who own business aircraft outright also hold fractional shares, reflecting the increasing appeal of shared ownership models. Despite the optimistic outlook, the business aviation sector faces several challenges. Supply chain disruptions, rising production costs, and evolving regulatory requirements pose potential obstacles to manufacturers’ ability to meet demand. In response, industry players are expected to enhance production capacity, invest in new aircraft development, and improve aftermarket services to sustain growth. The reinstatement of 100% bonus depreciation under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) is also anticipated to stimulate business jet purchases further. This federal tax incentive allows businesses to deduct a substantial portion of the cost of new jets in the year they enter service, contributing to the current surge in orders. As the industry adapts to these evolving dynamics, Honeywell’s outlook suggests that business aviation is positioned for a decade of record growth, contingent on the sector’s ability to navigate the challenges ahead.