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Jet Fuel Prices Surge Nearly 100% in Weeks; XCF Global Notes Domestic SAF Less Affected

Jet Fuel Prices Surge Nearly 100% Amid Global Supply Disruptions
Jet fuel prices in the United States have nearly doubled over the past several weeks, escalating financial pressures on airlines and revealing significant vulnerabilities within the global aviation fuel supply chain. This sharp increase, driven by persistent instability in global oil markets and disruptions to critical supply routes such as the Strait of Hormuz, has intensified concerns regarding fuel availability and the overall resilience of the aviation sector.
Industry data, corroborated by CNBC reports, indicate that U.S. jet fuel prices have risen from approximately $2.50 per gallon in late February to nearly $4.90 per gallon by early April. This represents one of the most rapid price escalations in recent memory. The ongoing conflict in Iran and the resulting constraints on crude oil shipments have severely limited tanker traffic, further tightening global supply and exerting upward pressure on prices.
The surge in fuel costs is already impacting airlines significantly. Alaska Air has reported triple-digit increases in fuel refining expenses and has consequently revised its first-quarter financial expectations downward. Major carriers, including United Airlines, have begun reducing flight schedules and have issued warnings about potential fuel shortages in the coming weeks. European airline executives have expressed concerns that if supply disruptions persist, jet fuel shortages could emerge at major airport hubs, necessitating emergency measures and potentially driving airfares even higher. Analysts caution that sustained elevated fuel prices could eliminate industry profits by 2026, particularly if passenger demand weakens.
Domestic Sustainable Aviation Fuel Offers a More Resilient Alternative
This crisis has intensified scrutiny of the structural weaknesses inherent in petroleum-based aviation fuel supply chains, which remain closely linked to geopolitically sensitive crude oil markets. In contrast, domestically produced, waste-based sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) is gaining attention as a more resilient alternative. XCF Global, Inc. (Nasdaq: SAFX), a leading U.S. producer of SAF, highlights that its fuel is derived from domestic feedstocks such as used cooking oil and other waste materials—inputs largely insulated from the volatility of global oil markets.
Chris Cooper, CEO of XCF Global, emphasized the significance of this distinction: “When jet fuel prices can nearly double in a matter of weeks, it exposes just how fragile crude-based aviation fuel supply chains remain. Waste-based SAF starts with domestic materials, domestic infrastructure, and domestic labor. That structural difference matters, not only for decarbonization, but for fuel security and reliability when global energy systems are under stress.”
While prices for SAF can still be influenced by broader market dynamics, the underlying supply chain for waste-based SAF is fundamentally different from that of conventional jet fuel. Disruptions in crude oil markets have an immediate and direct impact on traditional jet fuel availability and pricing, whereas waste-based SAF is shielded from many of these upstream risks, providing a meaningful layer of supply-chain resilience.
XCF Global operates the New Rise Renewables facility in Reno, Nevada, which has a permitted nameplate capacity of 38 million gallons per year of neat SAF. As the aviation industry grapples with increasing uncertainty over fuel pricing and availability, the company advocates for expanded domestic SAF production as a critical component in enhancing both energy security and the sector’s decarbonization efforts.

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